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☆ Investors should monitor data and fundamentals instead of Fed speak, says TCW's Bryan Whalen
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should monitor data and fundamentals instead of Fed speak, says TCW's Bryan WhalenBryan Whalen, TCW Group CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what to expect from the Federal Reserve, how economic data will trend, and more.

Persons: TCW's Bryan Whalen Bryan Whalen Organizations: TCW, Federal Reserve

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with TCW Group's Bryan Whalen
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with TCW Group's Bryan WhalenBryan Whalen, TCW Group CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what to expect from the Federal Reserve, how economic data will trend, and more.

Persons: TCW Group's Bryan Whalen Bryan Whalen Organizations: TCW, Federal Reserve

☆ How one firm is investing in the energy transition using actively managed ETFs
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow one firm is investing in the energy transition using actively managed ETFsJennifer Grancio, TCW head of global wealth, and Dave Nadig, VettaFi financial futurist, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss TCW's recent acquisition of Engine No.1, investing in climate change and the energy transformation.

Persons: Jennifer Grancio, Dave Nadig, Bob Pisani

☆ ETF Edge, January 17, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge, January 17, 2024Catherine Clay, CBOE Global Markets global head of derivatives, Jennifer Grancio, TCW head of global wealth, and Dave Nadig, VettaFi financial futurist, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the road ahead for bitcoin after the approval of the first spot bitcoin ETFs, TCW's recent acquisition of Engine No.1 and the energy transformation.

Persons: Catherine Clay, Jennifer Grancio, Dave Nadig, Bob Pisani Organizations: CBOE, bitcoin

☆ The looming office space real estate shortage. Yes, shortage
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

You read that right: amid a commercial real estate market across U.S. downtowns being described in apocalyptic terms, CoStar sees a shortage on the horizon, with one key caveat for top companies to bear in mind. CoStar's call of an upcoming office space shortage is predicated on a look at the current data on leasing and construction activity compared to recent market history. They have attracted over 175 million square feet of net new occupancy since the beginning of 2020, an average of 12.7 million square feet per quarter. "Modern, premium office space remains in demand, just as it has historically, even during difficult economic times," said Phil Mobley, national director of office analytics at CoStar Group. Less than 30 million square feet has broken ground in 2023, making this year the lowest for construction starts since 2011.

Persons: Visoot, downtowns, Phil Mobley, Google's, Mobley, Jeff Greene Organizations: CNBC, Google, City, Gas Co, Billionaire Locations: U.S, New, Los Angeles, West Palm Beach

☆ A 'once-in-a-generation' factory construction boom won't bow to economic jitters. How investors can play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Now, the window is opening on orders for the components that will go into the construction, he added. One of those exchange-traded funds is TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF (SUPP), a play on the reshoring theme. "[Yet] in just [the past] six months, we've added about $300 billion of orders for mega projects," he added. "The United States is experiencing a once-in-a-generation onshoring boom," the company said during its Oct. 27 conference call. Another top holding is Martin Marietta Materials , which produces the aggregates used for construction projects.

Persons: Chris Snyder, Eli Horton, we've, there's, Horton, Snyder, Eaton, Craig Arnold, Arnold, Martin Marietta, Hortons, we're, Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, hasn't, Steel, Trane Technologies, Waste Management, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: U.S, United States

☆ Stocks look pricey, the economy is showing cracks, and the Fed is an enemy to markets, says deputy chief investor of a $96 billion money manager
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Jeffrey Sherman touted bonds over stocks and flagged signs of weakness in the US economy. DoubleLine's deputy chief investor told Insider the Federal Reserve is an "enemy to everything." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementBonds are more enticing than stocks, the US economy is showing cracks, and the Federal Reserve is an enemy to investors, according to Jeffrey Sherman. He warned investors against trusting the central bank to balance inflation and growth while also shoring up asset prices.

Persons: Jeffrey Sherman, Sherman, —, Jeffrey Gundlach's, TCW, scrambles Organizations: Reserve, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank, Fed

☆ 'Everything gets harder from here': Why top investors are down on the market, economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Some of the market's biggest stock market investors echoed this view. Ackman said on Monday morning he didn't expect another rate hike. "If you just listen to their words, you know, you have to be pretty fearful there's going to be another rate hike. "Those numbers need to be supportive," Rieder had said of inflation data and jobs data including the JOLTS report in an interview with CNBC on the sidelines of DA. Ackman, even betting against another rate hike, has a view of inflation that sees it being persistently higher and placing more pressure on yields.

Persons: Bill Ackman, Katie Koch, reprice, Koch, Cash, Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, We've, Ackman, That's, they're, Jerome Powell, Volcker, Rick Rieder, You've, Rieder Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CNBC, Alpha, TCW, DA, Fed, Labor, BlackRock

☆ Top money managers are warning of pain ahead for the US economy. Here are 6 areas where they're investing right now to prepare.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"There is a subset that simply cannot do that," she said of paying down credit card debt going forward as rates rise. "In those tails and subsets I think you're going to have really unusual delinquencies, and just horrible recovery rates." You're going to see defaults increase." Delaney also emphasized being defensive, and said he likes corporate bonds, but those with floating rates, meaning they move with the market rate. The iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) is one way to gain exposure to long-term government bonds.

Persons: Dawn Fitzpatrick, Katie Koch, haven't, it's, Mark Delaney, Suni Harford, I'd, Brad Gerstner, Jerome Powell, Volcker, Koch, —, We're, Rick Rieder, he's, Delaney, Fitzpatrick Organizations: CNBC's, Alpha, Federal Reserve, Soros Fund Management, TCW, UBS, Management, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Corporate, Treasury Bond ETF, Vanguard Energy, DB Oil Fund Locations: Europe, Saudi Arabia

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Long-term prospects are uncertain
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

People walk outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in the financial district in Manhattan on June 14, 2022 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Big population but small labor forceEven though India's population of 1.428 billion has surpassed that of China's, according to UN estimates, the country's labor force is only at 51%, trailing behind China's 75%. When that happens, this simple bond trade can earn you 40% in returns, said investment analysts.

Persons: Hong, Bill Ackman, Rick Rieder, Katie Koch Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nikkei, Alpha, Pershing, Capital Management, Treasury, BlackRock, Federal, TCW, China's, Oxford Economics Locations: Manhattan, New York City, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, U.S, China

☆ A recession is coming and investors should be defensive, TCW CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A recession is all but inevitable for the U.S. and investors should be playing defense in that kind of environment, according to the head of the TCW Group. "We are going to have a recession, because that's the way the world works," Katie Koch, CEO of the firm with $210 billion under management, said Thursday at CNBC's "Delivering Alpha" conference. Higher rates have long been thought to work with lag effects, the timing of which is uncertain and dependent on a variety of factors. "I do think it pays to be patient and wait to see higher rates work their way through the system," Koch said. "We haven't seen the pain of higher rates, but it's coming."

Persons: Katie Koch, Koch Organizations: U.S, TCW, Alpha Locations: U.S

☆ US junk debt deals carry higher guardrails for investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Matt Tracy | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Twelve high-yield issuers have raised $9.6 billion this week, making it the busiest week since November 2021, according to JPMorgan. This stands in stark contrast to the same period in 2022, when only 25% of a total $81 billion was secured debt, according to Informa Global Markets data. According to rating agency Fitch, junk debt defaults are expected to reach 4.5% of all outstanding U.S. junk debt by the end of 2023, up from 2.8% in July. The extra level of protection and high investment returns are ensuring strong demand for new junk debt. The loans are part of a $9.4 billion debt package - the largest since last year's buyout of Twitter by billionaire Elon Musk.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, Anthony Canale, it's, Brian Gelfand, TCW, Goldman Sachs, Elon Musk, Jefferies, Simon, Matt Tracy, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Hugh Lawson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, JPMorgan, Informa, Reuters, Covenant, ICE, Morningstar, GTCR, KKR, Jefferies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Energy transition investment is creating huge value, says Engine No. 1 CEO Jennifer Grancio
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy transition investment is creating huge value, says Engine No. 1 CEO Jennifer GrancioJennifer Grancio, Engine No. 1 CEO, and CNBC's Bob Pisani join 'The Exchange' to discuss the decision to sell Engine No.1's ETF buisness to TCW, the activist investor's work on the Exxon Mobile board, and generating value from of ESG focused ETFs.

Persons: Jennifer Grancio Jennifer Grancio, Bob Pisani Organizations: Energy, Exxon Mobile Locations: TCW

Turkey's Central Bank headquarters is seen in Ankara, Turkey in this January 24, 2014 file photo. Yet five foreign investors told Reuters that this week's rate hike signalled a new independence among policymakers who are serious about addressing unrelenting pressure on the currency and reining in inflation expectations. "It feels like they are correcting the mistakes they made with their first rate hike decisions," said Viktor Szabo, portfolio manager at abrdn in London. Erdogan, who has fired four central bank chiefs in four years, has said little about the rate hikes. Reuters GraphicsTurkish stock, Eurobond and CDS markets are more attractive targets this year and next, especially after the rate hike, investors and officials say.

Persons: Umit, Erdogan's unorthodoxy, Mehmet Simsek, Goldman Sachs, Tayyip Erdogan's, Viktor Szabo, Ola El, Van Eck, ERDOGAN, Erdogan, Simsek, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Cevdet Yilmaz, Blaise Antin, TCW, Kaan, Neuberger Berman, Jonathan Spicer, Marc Jones, Jorgelina, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Turkey's Central Bank, Finance, Goldman, Reuters, abrdn, Emerging Markets, Wall Street, JPMorgan, Reuters Graphics, CDS, Yeni, United Nations, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Ankara, Turkey, ANKARA, LONDON, New York, London, Van, Los Angeles, Reuters Graphics Turkish, Yeni Safak, Morocco, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Istanbul, Rosario

☆ Money Manager TCW Shakes Up Bond-Investor Ranks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Justin Baer | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/money-manager-tcw-shakes-up-bond-investor-ranks-728ee18b

Persons: Dow Jones

July 28 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (GS.N) executive Julian Salisbury will join investment firm Sixth Street as a partner and co-chief investment officer early next year, his incoming firm said, marking yet another high-profile exit from Goldman. Salisbury will reunite with Goldman alums in his new role, including Sixth Street CEO Alan Waxman. Salisbury became a partner in 2008 and previously served as global co-head of the asset management unit before it was combined with wealth management under Marc Nachmann last year. Goldman's asset management division has promoted 11 partners and hired nine new managing directors focused on investing this year, a company spokeswoman said. Salisbury has "done a great job putting together all these asset management businesses over the last few years," Nachmann said in an interview.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Julian Salisbury, Salisbury, Goldman alums, Alan Waxman, Marc Nachmann, Julian, Waxman, Dina Powell McCormick, Gregg Lemkau, Katie Koch, Goldman, Nachmann, It’s, David Solomon, Lloyd Blankfein, Manya Saini, Niket, Lananh Nguyen, Vinay Dwivedi, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Sixth, Goldman, MSD Partners, TCW, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Goldman, Salisbury, London, Moscow, New York, Russia, China, Bengaluru, Lananh

☆ Deutsche Bank: These are the 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months, from a list that's outperformed the S&P 500 over the last six years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank analysts recently shared their 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months. Upcoming rate hikes and a looming recession have kept investors apprehensive about the future of the stock market — but not enough to impede the ongoing bull rally. 29 top stock picks for the next yearIn a report from July 7, Deutsche Bank analysts updated their quarterly Fresh Money List, which reflects their top investment ideas to hold over the next twelve months. Since the creation of this list in 2017, Deutsche Bank's basket of stocks has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 167% versus the S&P's 124% gain. The full list of Deutsche Bank's updated basket is below, along with each company's ticker, market capitalization, price target, sector, and respective analyst commentary.

Persons: That's, Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola, Dave Sekera, Diane Jaffee Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq, Deutsche

☆ A lead portfolio manager at a $205 billion asset manager explains why there's no recession ahead for the US economy — and shares 8 mid-sized stocks set to beat the market going forward
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Diane Jaffee — lead portfolio manager at TCW, which manages $205 billion in assets — sits solidly in this latter camp. "Historically, mid-caps and small-caps outperform large caps over time, but you have to go back to a 20 year time horizon before that's true," Jaffee explained. 8 mid-cap stocks set to outperformWithin her mid-cap fund, some of Jaffee's financials holdings include insurance broker Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and private equity firm Apollo Global Management (APO). "It has a great management team that comes from JPMorgan, and they're an economic focus for Puerto Rico," Jaffee explained. Within consumer discretionary stocks, Jaffee also noted homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL) as another top holding.

Persons: Diane Jaffee, Jaffee, Morgan Stanley, Seth Carpenter, Carpenter, that's, We've, They've, homebuilder, she's, LEN Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, —, Arch Capital, Apollo Global Management, Banco Popular, JPMorgan, Puerto, Darden, Medicaid outlays Locations: TCW, financials, Puerto Rican, Puerto Rico, Olive

☆ Here are the 5 key takeaways from this year's Milken Global conference
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Dakin Campbell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

The pullback by banks is raising the hopes of those in the private credit industry. Some panelists and others who spoke in the hallways of the event suggested that there was a large-scale handoff from private equity to private credit. Many private-equity firms are scrambling to raise private credit funds to take advantage. "I don't think this is the end of private equity, but the environment certainly favors private credit," he said. And that will show up in lower returns for private credit funds, she said.

Instead, fixed income, which was unpopular when rates were low, is back in favor and seeing strong capital flows into products like bond funds, said fund managers at the Milken Institute Global Conference this week. Attendees also discussed whether federal regulators should raise FDIC deposit insurance after First Republic Bank was seized and sold to JPMorgan, and how markets will react to even higher interest rates and potentially more market volatility. Others warned that companies will soon have to refinance their debt at higher rates, making them less attractive. Instead, thanks to higher interest rates, fixed income is once again playing a bigger role in portfolios. "The Fed has helped us put the income back in fixed income," said Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management.

That is the biggest net short position since October 2011, and marks the fourth week in five that funds have increased their bet on weaker U.S. stocks. Reuters ImageA short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. It has been a mixed bag with almost a fifth of the S&P 500 firms having reported. The S&P 500 has rebounded nearly 10% from the March banking shock lows, and if the options market is any guide, traders are sanguine about the near-term outlook. The VIX index of implied volatility - the Wall Street "fear index" - last week hit its lowest since November 2021.

ORLANDO, Florida, April 21 (Reuters) - Even though it may surprise some that it's positive at all, the risk premium on equity over bonds has hit historic lows - a key driver of the recent dash for fixed income. The so-called equity risk premium (ERP), the extra return investors can expect for holding stocks over risk-free government bonds, is hovering around its lowest level since before the Great Financial Crisis. The S&P 500 earnings yield is calculated dividing the latest or forecast 12-month earnings per share by the market's current level. The ERP is then arrived at by subtracting a benchmark bond yield, say 10-year, from the equity market earnings yield. "The earnings yield is not what it used to be but it is still attractive relative to other opportunities," Jaffee said.

Separately, in a televised interview on Wednesday, Erdogan downplayed the significance of the meeting with Simsek, saying such meetings were ordinary. A senior government official told Reuters the AKP was somewhat divided with some members opposed to Simsek's return, and described the outcome of the Erdogan meeting as "undesirable". The party may now need to revise its economic platform ahead of the election campaign, he added. The AKP declined to comment on whether it was revising its economic strategy ahead of the vote. Two recent polls by MAK and Turkiye Raporu show the opposition presidential challenger Kemal Kilicdaroglu between 4 and 9 percentage points ahead of Erdogan.

[1/3] Turkey's President Tayyip Erdogan and Finland's President Sauli Niinisto shake hands during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey March 17, 2023. The parliaments of all 30 NATO members must ratify newcomers. "We have decided to initiate the ratification of Finland's accession process to NATO in our parliament," Erdogan told reporters after meeting with Niinisto, adding he hoped parliament would endorse the bid before May 14 elections. Amid simmering tensions with Sweden, Erdogan signalled in January that Turkey could endorse Helsinki ahead of Stockholm. Washington and other NATO members had hoped the two Nordic countries would join the alliance at a NATO summit set for July 11 in Vilnius.

[1/3] Turkey's President Tayyip Erdogan and Finland's President Sauli Niinisto shake hands during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey March 17, 2023. The parliaments of all 30 NATO members must ratify newcomers. "We have decided to initiate the ratification of Finland's accession process to NATO in our parliament," Erdogan told reporters after meeting with Niinisto, adding he hoped parliament would endorse the bid before May 14 elections. Washington and other NATO members had hoped the two Nordic countries would join the alliance at a NATO summit set for July 11 in Vilnius. Turkey's parliament is expected to ratify Finland before it closes in mid-April ahead of the parliamentary and presidential votes scheduled for May 14.

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